GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/29/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 49.7-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaLDDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Cerro LargoLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensa Y JusticiaCerro Largo
58.3Attack0.0
61.1Defence33.3
72.2Form0.0
65.1Power15.3
2.00xG0.78
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