GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/30/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Botafogo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 65.1 against 66.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaDWWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BotafogoWDDWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensa Y JusticiaBotafogo
58.3Attack76.2
61.1Defence47.6
72.2Form76.2
65.1Power66.3
1.86xG1.38
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