Defensa Y Justiciavs
America Mineiro
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/20/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while America Mineiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Defensa Y Justicia
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20