GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/20/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while America Mineiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
America MineiroLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensa Y JusticiaAmerica Mineiro
58.3Attack66.7
61.1Defence44.4
72.2Form41.7
65.1Power50.9
2.19xG1.35
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