GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Always Ready are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaWLLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Always ReadyLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensa Y JusticiaAlways Ready
58.3Attack54.2
61.1Defence54.2
72.2Form58.3
65.1Power55.6
1.76xG1.08
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