Defensa y Justicia Res.vs
Tigre Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensa y Justicia Res. 2-1 Tigre Res.
Original prediction
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.0% | 54.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.0% | 24.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.0% | 21.0% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20