Argentina · Reserve League · 4/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Defensa y Justicia Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while San Martín San Juan Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa y Justicia Res. hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Probability
86.6%
Model confidence
14.2%
Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40