GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes La Plata Res · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Defensa y Justicia Res. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Estudiantes La Plata Res are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes La Plata Res hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Reserve League, while Estudiantes La Plata Res holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes La Plata Res

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

14.2%

Estudiantes La Plata Res has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa y Justicia Res.WDWWD

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes La Plata ResWDLLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa y Justicia Res.Estudiantes La Plata Res
63.6Attack51.5
53.0Defence72.7
51.5Form57.6
55.0Power60.9
1.09xG1.34
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