Argentina · Reserve League · 4/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes La Plata Res · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Defensa y Justicia Res. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Estudiantes La Plata Res are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes La Plata Res hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Reserve League, while Estudiantes La Plata Res holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
14.2%
Estudiantes La Plata Res has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80