Argentina · Reserve League · 3/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Defensa y Justicia Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Riestra Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.0 against 54.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
14.2%
Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60