Defence Forcevs
Moca
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · 10/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Defence Force are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Moca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Moca hold a 55.4-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship, while Moca holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moca
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Moca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00