GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · 10/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Defence Force are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Moca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Moca hold a 55.4-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship, while Moca holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moca

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Moca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defence ForceDWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 0/3
MocaWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Defence ForceMoca
0.0Attack41.7
0.0Defence75.0
0.0Form66.7
7.0Power62.4
0.73xG1.33
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