Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treze · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Decisão are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Treze are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Treze hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Serie D, while Treze holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Treze
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
12.9%
Treze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80