GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Serra Branca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Decisão are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Serra Branca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Branca hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Serie D, while Serra Branca holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Serra Branca

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

19.7%

Serra Branca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DecisãoLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Serra BrancaLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DecisãoSerra Branca
33.3Attack40.5
43.3Defence73.8
26.7Form52.4
37.5Power57.4
0.53xG1.33
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