Debreceni VSCvs
MTK Budapest
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Debreceni VSC 2-2 MTK Budapest
Original prediction
MTK Budapest
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.3% | 32.4% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.2% | 25.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.6% | 42.4% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
MTK Budapest
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60