De Treffersvs
Sparta Rotterdam II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Treffers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
De Treffers 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam II
Original prediction
De Treffers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.0% | 57.7% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.8% | 21.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.2% | 21.1% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
De Treffers
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
De Treffers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00