De Treffersvs
Spakenburg
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Treffers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
De Treffers 5-0 Spakenburg
Original prediction
De Treffers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.8% | 49.8% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 23.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.5% | 26.6% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
De Treffers
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
De Treffers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20