GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/19/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

De Treffers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

De Treffers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Quick Boys are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWLW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Quick Boys hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Tweede Divisie, while De Treffers holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

De Treffers

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

De Treffers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

De TreffersWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Quick BoysDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
De TreffersQuick Boys
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power97.0
1.81xG1.61
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