De Treffersvs
Koninklijke HFC
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Treffers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
De Treffers 1-1 Koninklijke HFC
Original prediction
De Treffers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 66.0% | 60.6% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.8% | 20.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 6.83 | 13.3% | 18.5% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
De Treffers
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
De Treffers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60