De Treffersvs
Barendrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Treffers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
De Treffers 4-0 Barendrecht
Original prediction
De Treffers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.5% | 62.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.07 | 17.9% | 18.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 6.21 | 14.6% | 18.6% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
De Treffers
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
De Treffers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00