Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:01
De Graafschap

De Graafschap

Home
L
36
Full time
Telstar

Telstar

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Telstar33%
De Graafschap33%
Draw33%
Prediction missed— Result: Telstar
Win probability
De Graafschap
33%
Draw
33%
Telstar
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
De Graafschap
94
Telstar
100
Defence
De Graafschap
0
Telstar
6
Momentum
De Graafschap
0
Telstar
100
Danger (xG)
De Graafschap
2.70
Telstar
5.40
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.50 xG for De Graafschap and 2.01 xG for Telstar — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.49), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. De Graafschap's Attack Score (94) exceeds Telstar's Defensive Stability (6), and Telstar's attack (100) similarly tests De Graafschap's defence (0). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.51 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. De Graafschap's Attack Score (94) vs Telstar's Defensive Stability (6) and Telstar's attack (100) vs De Graafschap's defence (0) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (De Graafschap)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Telstar)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (De Graafschap)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (Telstar)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
L
TelstarTelstar
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
De Graafschap33%
Draw33%
Telstar33%

Telstar leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

De Graafschap vs Telstar: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

De Graafschap host Telstar in Friendlies Clubs. De Graafschap have recorded DWLLLW in recent matches while Telstar arrive with a run of DWWLLW.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.50 for De Graafschap and 2.01 for Telstar. The gap of 0.49 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • De Graafschap have been conceding 1.61 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

De Graafschap 0Draws 01 Telstar
Avg goals: 9.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
De Graafschap
L36
Telstar

Recent form

De Graafschap

De Graafschap

L
vs Telstar
17 Jul 2026
36
Telstar

Telstar

W
@ De Graafschap
17 Jul 2026
63
W
@ FC Volendam
17 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win De Graafschap vs Telstar?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Telstar?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in De Graafschap vs Telstar?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in De Graafschap vs Telstar?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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