GGOALVIO

Netherlands · U21 Divisie 1 · 9/23/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Groningen U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

De Graafschap U21 are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Groningen U21 are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Groningen U21 hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the U21 Divisie 1, while Groningen U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Groningen U21

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Groningen U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

De Graafschap U21WW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Groningen U21LLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 2.33/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
De Graafschap U21Groningen U21
65.5Attack72.6
50.0Defence57.1
60.7Form64.3
59.0Power64.6
1.84xG2.09
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