GGOALVIO

Netherlands · U21 Divisie 1 · 10/7/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

De Graafschap U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

De Graafschap U21 are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Go Ahead Eagles U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and De Graafschap U21 hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.1% in the U21 Divisie 1, while De Graafschap U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

De Graafschap U21

Probability

75.1%

Model confidence

75.1%

De Graafschap U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

De Graafschap U21DLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Go Ahead Eagles U21DDWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
De Graafschap U21Go Ahead Eagles U21
65.5Attack39.3
50.0Defence31.0
60.7Form31.0
59.0Power36.0
3.22xG1.04
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