GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

DC United are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Toronto FC are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

DC United

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC UnitedLWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Toronto FCLDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
DC UnitedToronto FC
48.1Attack44.4
46.3Defence40.7
42.6Form31.5
48.0Power41.8
1.89xG1.29
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