GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

DC United are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

DC United

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC UnitedDDLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Philadelphia UnionLWWLD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DC UnitedPhiladelphia Union
48.1Attack46.3
46.3Defence38.9
42.6Form29.6
48.0Power40.9
1.96xG1.34
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