GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

DC United are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

DC United

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

8.5%

DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC UnitedDDLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Orlando City SCWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
48.1Attack55.6
46.3Defence13.0
42.6Form37.0
48.0Power36.6
2.66xG1.60
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