Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
DC United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
11.4%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80