DC Power Wvs
Tampa Bay Sun W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
DC Power W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
DC Power W 1-1 Tampa Bay Sun W
Original prediction
DC Power W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.7% | 43.5% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 26.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.4% | 30.1% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
DC Power W
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
DC Power W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40