GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 10/2/2024, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

DC Power W are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tampa Bay Sun W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Sun W hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the USL Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC Power WDLLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tampa Bay Sun WDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DC Power WTampa Bay Sun W
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.09xG1.09
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