DC Power Wvs
Sporting JAX W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 9/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting JAX W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
DC Power W 1-1 Sporting JAX W
Original prediction
Sporting JAX W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.3% | 34.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.0% | 27.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.7% | 37.8% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Sporting JAX W
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Sporting JAX W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20