GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 10/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ismaily SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dayrout 2-2 Ismaily SC

Original prediction

Ismaily SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.5819.9%26.6%6.7 pts
Draw3.1129.3%27.9%-1.4 pts
Away1.7950.8%45.5%-5.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–112%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Ismaily SC

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Ismaily SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DayroutDLLLL

GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Ismaily SCWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
DayroutIsmaily SC
0.0Attack38.9
27.8Defence38.9
5.6Form27.8
16.7Power38.3
0.98xG1.34
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