GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 10/22/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Seka El Hadid · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dayrout 1-5 El Seka El Hadid

Original prediction

El Seka El Hadid

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 10:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.9722.8%21.9%-0.8 pts
Draw2.8931.3%27.2%-4.1 pts
Away1.9745.9%50.9%5.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–115%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

El Seka El Hadid

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

El Seka El Hadid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DayroutDWDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
El Seka El HadidDDWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DayroutEl Seka El Hadid
11.1Attack44.4
44.4Defence48.1
22.2Form44.4
29.7Power48.7
0.78xG1.39
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