Dartfordvs
Wingate & Finchley
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dartford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dartford 2-1 Wingate & Finchley
Original prediction
Dartford
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.2% | 61.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.9% | 20.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 17.9% | 17.9% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Dartford
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Dartford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40