Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dartford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dartford 1-2 Ramsgate
Original prediction
Dartford
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.2% | 45.6% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.1% | 24.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.6% | 29.5% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Dartford
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Dartford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DartfordLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RamsgateLDLWD
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DartfordRamsgate
55.6Attack77.8
66.7Defence51.9
77.8Form48.1
68.4Power57.6
1.83xG1.41