Dartfordvs
Chatham Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chatham Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dartford 1-0 Chatham Town
Original prediction
Chatham Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.3% | 34.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 24.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.2% | 41.1% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Chatham Town
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Chatham Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60