GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bath City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dartford are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Bath City are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bath City hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the National League - South, while Bath City holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bath City

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Bath City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DartfordLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bath CityDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
DartfordBath City
40.6Attack51.4
45.7Defence60.1
33.3Form52.9
41.8Power55.7
1.00xG1.60
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