Darlington 1883vs
Spennymoor Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Darlington 1883 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Darlington 1883 3-0 Spennymoor Town
Original prediction
Darlington 1883
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.5% | 45.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.6% | 24.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.0% | 30.1% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Darlington 1883
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Darlington 1883 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60