Darlington 1883vs
Macclesfield
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macclesfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Darlington 1883 1-2 Macclesfield
Original prediction
Macclesfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.36 | 27.1% | 27.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.0% | 26.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 47.0% | 46.1% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Macclesfield
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Macclesfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40