Darlington 1883vs
Hebburn Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebburn Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Darlington 1883 1-1 Hebburn Town
Original prediction
Hebburn Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.2% | 29.1% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 23.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.4% | 47.3% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Hebburn Town
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Hebburn Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80