GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Curzon Ashton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Darlington 1883 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Curzon Ashton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Curzon Ashton hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the National League - North, while Curzon Ashton holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Curzon Ashton

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Curzon Ashton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Darlington 1883L

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Curzon AshtonLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Darlington 1883Curzon Ashton
66.7Attack44.9
33.3Defence64.5
50.0Form54.3
53.0Power55.5
1.16xG1.28
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