GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Danubio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Danubio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sportivo Ameliano are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Danubio hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Danubio holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Danubio

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Danubio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DanubioDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo AmelianoLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DanubioSportivo Ameliano
28.6Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
38.1Form0.0
46.6Power15.3
1.11xG0.79
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