Danubiovs
Rayo Zuliano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Danubio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Danubio are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rayo Zuliano are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Danubio hold a 32.2-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Danubio holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Danubio
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Danubio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80