Danubiovs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/12/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Danubio are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00