GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Danubio are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Maldonado

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

17.2%

Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DanubioDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MaldonadoWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DanubioDeportivo Maldonado
30.6Attack55.1
56.9Defence65.2
31.9Form60.9
41.8Power61.9
0.64xG1.38
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