Danubiovs
Club Guarani
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/25/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Danubio are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Club Guarani are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60