DanubiovsAtletico Paranaense

Danubio are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.