GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 6/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Dangjin Citizen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ulsan Citizen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dangjin CitizenLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ulsan CitizenLLLDL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dangjin CitizenUlsan Citizen
61.4Attack33.3
52.6Defence52.2
49.1Form37.8
54.6Power43.5
1.94xG0.84
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