GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 5/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dangjin Citizen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Daejeon Korail are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dangjin CitizenDLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Daejeon KorailWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Dangjin CitizenDaejeon Korail
61.4Attack40.5
52.6Defence61.9
49.1Form46.4
54.6Power51.6
1.51xG1.04
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