Dangjin Citizenvs
Chuncheon
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dangjin Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dangjin Citizen 3-4 Chuncheon
Original prediction
Dangjin Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.4% | 50.6% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 21.2% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.1% | 28.1% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dangjin Citizen
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60