GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 6/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Dangjin Citizen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Changwon City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dangjin CitizenWLLDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Changwon CityWWDLD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Dangjin CitizenChangwon City
61.4Attack28.7
52.6Defence55.2
49.1Form34.5
54.6Power41.9
1.83xG0.72
View match centre →