Dangjin Citizenvs
Busan Transportation
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan Transportation · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dangjin Citizen 5-3 Busan Transportation
Original prediction
Busan Transportation
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.3% | 31.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 23.4% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.8% | 45.5% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Busan Transportation
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Busan Transportation has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80