GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Dandenong Thunder are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while South Melbourne are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Melbourne

Probability

67.4%

Model confidence

10.8%

South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong ThunderLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
South MelbourneWWWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dandenong ThunderSouth Melbourne
33.3Attack52.8
26.1Defence54.2
21.7Form56.9
28.5Power54.7
0.92xG2.35
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