Dandenong Thundervs
South Melbourne
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 3/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Dandenong Thunder are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while South Melbourne are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Melbourne
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
10.8%
South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60