GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/2/2026, 5:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preston Lions · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Dandenong Thunder are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Preston Lions are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.1% in the Victoria NPL, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preston Lions

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

73.1%

Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong ThunderWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Preston LionsWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dandenong ThunderPreston Lions
33.3Attack50.0
26.1Defence72.7
21.7Form65.2
28.5Power63.6
0.56xG2.28
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